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Race prediction
Autódromo José Carlos Pace · Sunday, November 8
Inputs captured at 02/11/2026, 11:08:39 UTC · 22 eligible drivers.
Grid-penalty information unavailable; no clean-grid claim is made.
Provisional field from the most recent available previous race; substitutions or withdrawals may change it. The field updates when weekend participants are published.
Missing features use 50/100 neutral fallbacks; estimates have not been calibrated against race outcomes.
Projected podium
The model’s pick
Championship scores 100.0/100. Recent form scores 100.0/100.
Score per factor. The tick marks the field average.
P2
Qualifying scores 100.0/100. Weather fit scores 95.0/100.
P3
Championship scores 100.0/100. Recent form scores 100.0/100.
Model estimates across the entire eligible field. Scores are out of 100; equal scores indicate a tie.
Eight factors scored 0–100, combined with unchanged weights. Missing inputs receive a neutral 50. Relative estimates use a softmax across the entire eligible field; fixed-domain ratings and penalties retain their scale.
Finishing positions over the last five races, weighted toward the most recent (the latest counts 3× the oldest). Official finishing order includes retirements; no fault is inferred. Missing driver history is neutral.
Before qualifying: recent qualifying form. After qualifying: this weekend’s published qualifying order, with prior form as a disclosed fallback if unavailable. Starting-grid order is a separate evaluation baseline.
Standing after the last completed round, with wins as a tie-breaker. Captured before this race. Openers use the previous season when available.
Podiums at this circuit in the ten seasons preceding the cutoff, with recency decay. The target race and later results are excluded.
Versioned subjective ratings, active only when a forecast captured before the cutoff exceeds 40% rain. Unknown forecasts or ratings are neutral.
An additional signal only when this weekend’s sprint has finished and its result was captured before the cutoff. It does not replace recent form.
A versioned subjective team rating for an assumed circuit compound. This is a heuristic, not a verified event allocation. Missing ratings are neutral.
Explicit grid decisions known at the cutoff, graded by severity. Unavailable messages are neutral. Qualifying uses session order, so grid penalties are not counted twice.
Data from the Jolpica F1 API, Open-Meteo forecasts, and OpenF1 race control messages. These estimates have not been calibrated against held-out race outcomes.